Kukwira kwemitengo yekurima mumakore achangopfuura kwakaita kuti varimi pasi rose vadyare mbesa nembeu dzemafuta.Nekudaro, kukanganisa kweEl Nino, pamwe chete nezvirambidzo zvekutengesa kunze kwenyika kune dzimwe nyika uye kuenderera mberi kwekudiwa kwebiofuel, zvinoratidza kuti vatengi vanogona kutarisana nemamiriro ekupa akasimba muna 2024.
Mushure mekuwana kwakasimba mumitengo yepasi rose yegorosi, chibage uye soyabean mumakore mashoma apfuura, 2023 yakaona kudzikira kwakanyanya sezvo Black Sea Logistics inodzikira uye tarisiro yekuderera kwepasi rose kunetseka, vaongorori nevatengesi vakati.Muna 2024, zvakadaro, mitengo inoramba iri panjodzi yekupa kuvhunduka uye kukwira kwechikafu.Ole Howie anoti zviyo zvichavandudzwa muna 2023 sezvo dzimwe nzvimbo huru dzekugadzira dzichiwedzera kugadzirwa, asi hazvisati zvanyatsobuda muhuni.Nemasangano emamiriro ekunze ari kufanotaura kuti El Nino ichagara kusvika Kubvumbi kana Chivabvu gore rinouya, chibage cheBrazil chave kutodonha, uye China iri kutenga gorosi nechibage chakawanda kubva kumusika wepasirese.
Mamiriro ekunze eEl Nino, ayo akaunza mamiriro ekunze akaoma munzvimbo zhinji dzeAsia gore rino uye anogona kugara kusvika hafu yekutanga ya2024, zvinoreva kuti vamwe vatengesi vakuru nevanotenga kunze kwenyika vakatarisana nenjodzi dzekupa mupunga, gorosi, mafuta emichindwe nezvimwe zvekurima.
Vatengesi nevakuru vakuru vanotarisira kuti kugadzirwa kwemupunga kweAsia kudonha muhafu yekutanga ya2024, sezvo mamiriro ekudyara akaomarara uye kuderedzwa kwekuchengetedza mvura mumadhamu kunogona kukonzera goho rakaderera.Mupunga wepasi rose waive watosimba gore rino mushure mekunge El Nino yadzikisa kugadzirwa uye yakakurudzira India, iyo inonyanya kutengesa kunze kwenyika, kurambidza kutengesa kunze kwenyika.Kunyangwe zvimwe zviyo zvakadonha, mitengo yemupunga yakawedzera kusvika kumakore gumi nemashanu svondo rapfuura, nemitengo yakataurwa nevamwe vatengesi vekuAsia yakakwira 40-45 muzana.
MuIndia, nyika yechipiri pakukura murimi wegorosi, chirimwa chegorosi chinotevera chiri munjodzi zvakare nekushaikwa kwemvura inonaya izvo zvinogona kumanikidza India kutsvaga kutenga kunze kekutanga mumakore matanhatu sezvo mirwi yegorosi yehurumende yadzika kusvika padanho rayo rakaderera. makore manomwe.
MuAustralia, nyika yechipiri pakukura kwegorosi munyika yose, mwedzi yekupisa kwemamiriro okunze yakakuvadza goho gore rino, ichipedza makore matatu egoho rekodhi.Varimi vekuAustralia vangangodyara gorosi muvhu rakaoma muna Kubvumbi.Kurasikirwa kwegorosi muAustralia kunogona kuita kuti vatengi vakaita seChina neIndonesia vatsvage gorosi rakawanda kubva kuNorth America, Europe neBlack Sea.Commerzbank inotenda kuti mamiriro ekupa gorosi anogona kuwedzera muna 2023/24, sezvo zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kunyika huru dzinogadzira zvinogona kudzikiswa zvakanyanya.
Nzvimbo inopenya ye2024 ndeyepamusoro chibage, gorosi uye soya bhinzi kufanotaura muSouth America, kunyangwe mamiriro ekunze muBrazil anoramba achinetsa.Kunaya kwakanaka kwemvura munzvimbo dzinorimwa zvikuru dzekurima muArgentina kwakabatsira kusimudzira goho resoya, chibage negorosi.Nekuda kwekunaya kuri kuramba kuchinaya mumafuro ePambas kubva mukupera kwaGumiguru, zvikamu makumi mapfumbamwe nezvishanu kubva muzana zvechibage chakakurumidza kudyarwa uye 75 muzana yechirimwa chesoya bhinzi zvakanzi zvakanaka.MuBrazil, zvirimwa zva2024 zviri munzira kuve pedyo nerekodhi, kunyangwe fungidziro yekugadzirwa kwesoya nechibage yakatemwa mumavhiki apfuura nekuda kwekuoma kwemamiriro ekunze.
Kugadzirwa kwemafuta emichindwe pasi rose kungangodzikira nekuda kwekuoma kwekunze kwakaunzwa neEl Nino, ichitsigira mitengo yemafuta anodyika.Mitengo yemafuta emichindwe yakaderera kupfuura 6% kusvika ikozvino muna 2023. Nepo kugadzirwa kwemafuta emichindwe kuri kuderera, kudiwa kwemafuta emichindwe kuri kukura mubiodiesel uye maindasitiri ezvekudya.
Kubva pakuona kwenhoroondo, zviyo zvepasi rose nembeu yemafuta zvakaomesesa, Northern Hemisphere ingangoona yakasimba El Nino mamiriro ekunze panguva yekukura kwemwaka kekutanga kubvira 2015, dhora rekuAmerica rinofanira kuramba richidzikira munguva pfupi yapfuura, nepo kudiwa kwepasi rose kunofanira tangazve maitiro ayo ekukura kwenguva refu.
Nguva yekutumira: Mar-18-2024